Wade finds the spotlight shines bright in Miami
Basketball Betting Lines
07/19/2010 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - I spent a number of years hosting my own
radio show and am lucky enough to do quite a few guest spots around the dial
these days, so I realize how easy it can be to say something off the cuff that
someone, somewhere is alienated by.
In a society that grows touchier by the day, that kind of thing is just part
of the process, and generally I dismiss most of the Sally Sensitives out there
as just that.
However, there are a few topics I have been deft enough to avoid at all costs.
For instance, I'm proud to say I've never compared the New York Yankees'
treatment of Joe Torre to the Nazis like Tim McCarver, and I've yet to break
out September 11 in reference to a losing streak.
Dwyane Wade?
Not so much.
When asked Sunday how his new super team in South Beach would react to a
losing streak in the upcoming season, Wade handled it like a rookie stepping
up to the microphone for the first time.
"You [the reporters assembled] all are going to make it seem like the World
Trade has just went down again," Wade said before his annual charity
basketball game that he co-hosts with former Heat-teammate Alonzo Mourning.
Later in the day AOL, which first reported the quote, sent a different version
of it along with an with an editor's note explaining a transcription error
was made and the company "deeply regretted the error."
However, in the second corrected version, Wade still made the insensitive
reference, albeit with a bit of a qualifier.
"We're going to be wearing a bull's-eye," Wade reportedly said. "But that's
what you play for. We enjoy the bull's-eye. Plus, there's going to be times
when we lose two, three games in a row and it seems like the world has crashed
down. You all are going to make it seem like the World Trade is coming down
again, but it's not going to be nothing but a couple of basketball games."
Since D-Wade isn't Don Rickles or Lisa Lampanelli working blue at the Comedy
Shack, that's still about as tasteless as it gets these days.
It's not that I think Wade had any bad intentions or actually thinks he and
LeBron losing three in a row will really compare to 3,000 innocents losing
their lives. The All-Star clearly just stepped the wrong way in the politically
correct minefield that is America today.
Wade quickly apologized on Monday but made a second mistake in the process,
blaming the messenger.
"In an interview yesterday, I attempted to explain how some people may view
the Miami Heat losing a few basketball games in a row during the upcoming
season," Wade said in a statement. "It appears that my reference to the World
Trade Center has been either inaccurately reported or taken completely out of
context.
"I was simply trying to say that losing a few basketball games should not be
compared to a real catastrophe. While it was certainly not my intention, I
sincerely apologize to anyone who found my reference to the World Trade Center
to be insensitive or offensive."
It's still July and we are over three months away from basketball games
counting again, but it would have been nice to see Wade step up like a leader,
accept full responsibility and learn something very valuable from his little
faux pas.
The Heat, not the Lakers or Celtics, are now at the center of the basketball
universe and everything he, James, Chris Bosh and their teammates do will now
be put under a very powerful microscope.
Distractions like this during the season are exactly the types of things that
could lead to the losing streaks Wade so inartfully described.
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Detroit, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Detroit Tigers have recalled pitcher
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defensive player of the year. Montana's Chase Reynolds has been named the
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Howard takes home NL weekly honors >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Ryan
Howard has been named the National League Player of the Week for the
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New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Texas Rangers catcher Bengie Molina has been
named the American League Player of the Week for the period ending July 18.
Molina, who will turn 36 on Tuesday, joined the Rangers in a July 1 trade from
the Sa
Pacific-10 Conference odds
Teams that should be in: Stanford
Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.
Should be in:
Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.
| Southeastern Conference odds |
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State
It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.
Work left to do:
Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.
Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.
Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.
Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile. |
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MySportsbook.com: New College Football Clock Rules Examined
Coaches and bettors alike are desperate to make sense of the new time-keeping rules on the NCAA gridiron. One of the big stories to come out of the Ohio State-Texas clash last weekend was Texas coach Mack Brown's criticism of the NCAA's new clock rules that are intended to shorten the duration of college football games, therefore affecting college football betting.
"They scored with six minutes left and the game was over before we had a chance to do anything," Brown told ESPN.com. "I really hope whoever made these changes will go back and look them over."
Sure, it might be sour grapes; the Buckeyes thoroughly trounced the defending national champion Longhorns 24-7. However, Brown isn't alone in giving the changes their due thought. Bettors are also wondering about them, albeit for a completely different reason. Most experts agree that the changes will result in games being shortened by anywhere from 10 to 20 plays. The obvious consequence is lower scores, with more time rolling off the clock during changes of possession. (The Ohio State-Texas game flew well under the total of 52.)
According to research at the online sportsbook MySportsbook.com, more than 18 plays a game disappeared last weekend into thin air. That's a 10-percent reduction. In 2005, a typical game had 168.58 plays. For 2007 already, it's down to 150.26.
As a result, teams combined to gain an average of about 100 fewer yards a game last weekend versus the 2005 openers. Scoring was also down by about 4.5 points (attention Las Vegas sports lines).
Of course, oddsmakers were able to adjust to the changes before the season started. Proof of that came as the over went a balanced 8-9 at My Sportsbook on Saturday.
Other angles to consider:A shorter game should theoretically result in shorter lines. Whereas Team A might have been a 14-point favorite in a 168-play game (last year), if there are 10 percent less snaps in 2007, the line should also be reduced by 10 percent (to 13 or 12.5). Of course, this is an over-simplification of the matter, but something to keep in mind.
Less possessions means a better chance the game will be decided by three or seven points. For example, what might have been a 20-10 final score in 2005 may end at
17-10 in 2007. Granted, a 24-17 game last year might end at 21-17 these days, but the former - a three- or seven-point advantage being preserved as opposed to created - is the most likely scenario.
*UPDATE* - Sept. 25, 2007
New Clock Rules Boon for online bookmakers
By adjusting the time-keeping rules to shorten the duration of college football games, the NCAA hoped to make its product more enjoyable for the fans. While the NCAA's success in this regard is still up for debate, bookmakers couldn't be happier with the results.
"We are seeing a massive jump in college football betting," noted the MySportsbook.com management team. "With all the early Saturday games (12 a.m. ET) ending before the second wave begins (3:30 p.m. ET) - something that didn't always happen before the changes - bettors are now able to re-invest their winnings from the morning session in the afternoon games."
While not all bettors will choose to roll over their winnings, it doesn't take much for an impact to be seen on the bottom line. "Not all of the millions of dollars in morning payouts get re-bet. In fact, it's probably only 10 to 20 percent," noted the sportsbook management team. "Still, the increased football betting lines window will create a ton of growth for us over the course of the season."
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